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Post by Cyan on Apr 7, 2022 5:00:50 GMT
Will NOT take role of governor of Ukraine, Meaning regular steady military maintenance.
Do not care enough k thx.
But maintaining stability during voting periods and making sure people get right to vote on "sufficient plurality" grounds to see outcome as representative enough.
Then transitioning state to "autonomous republics with rights of secession and reunification enshrined."
Theoretically not impossible.
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Post by Cyan on Apr 7, 2022 6:30:51 GMT
So we're talking provincial votes along the border as to defence measures within the community.
Evidence 1 and 2 are the 2 cities declared "neutral".
Anticipating russian dominace but not paying or supporting either side, can be considered previously have to been "mafia" cities.
Treatment will prove future charachter of leader.
Cities on ukrainian side as long as allowed corridors by "lackluster" control to flee area will produce roughly pro russian elements staying, should be treated the same as native population.
Vote by mail is only way to conclude any other situation per region in international norms, will most likely be seen to either way regardless of preference of nations.
"Dark Web"
Seems objective was "take whole front approach, some focus on capital, might fall, might not, keep DEPTH reserves and very low mob".
Seems all across front except around captuing kiev itself succcesful, strong resistance in Donbass due to previous in depth fortification efforts. Slight risk of encirclement of donbass should concentrated push happen.
Kiev held, war became "personal" on many levels.
Now approach due to strongest success vector up from Krimea seems to be Moldovan Border, aside from that secondary seems to be east of dnieper.
Reserves seem to roughly hold. Capital falling was not "likely" in my view and i calculate that calculating as if it would, is inappropriate.
As predicted, Young boy attacking young girl does not subdue entire structure, starts to encroach from border at a distance slowly.
And most importantly, while young boy receives moral support, young girl gets a significant boost to outsider military participation.
Eventually in an even match, the young boy should win.
However.
What if war rages 2 years on and ukraine is smaller and smaller but continues to resist in capital + some amount of surroundings.
Moving stuff from Ukraine Pleasure to Ukraine Government Military.
Hmmm.
That was a short 45 seconds.
So it looks like they'll push towards east of dnieper and separate the 2 halves of the young woman.
Progress of battle is roughly operation norway.
This wont be over in 6 months.
Assuming objective is maintaining without significant resistance area east of dnieper.
Progress against prepared defences such as donbass seems slow to nonexitant.
Focus from kiev probably now to get to city north of mariupuol on the dnieper as well as make a safe route south of kharkov to dnieper.
Im thinking russia is thinking separate 2 halfes of cake war in woman and calm situation.
This will blow up because 2 halves will continue to appear deeper into ukraine and population that remains continues to be majorly russian with STRONG ukrainian sentinemnt.
Displacement and replacement will invite "intervention".
Krimea was "everyone is followed round by media officer" thus push from krimea is sentiment of border towns with regular trade.
Donbass was hellhole thus no progress to speak of.
Once units from donbass withdrawing roughly ordely to west of dniper as well as units from "somewhat regular contact" up north into a single element west of dnieper that can regoarnize for actual ukrainian push in some time later.
Army will be "varied" in opinion and sentiment but very uniform in performance.
Results will be largely based upon ukrainian reception of aid as well as russian treatment of population during war.
However as plan seems to be separation of partners, aka, "Shadow police", then dnieper will likely be reaches as well as possibly access to moldova.
Would surmise russia as "calming boy" does not want to touch NATO in south so progress to Polish or Romanian border unlikely.
As war has shifted from "we'll quickly push gov out and withdraw" to "actual war", timespan is estimated to 2-6 months, then counter push and long term mobilization by ukraine.
If war aim is to demobilize ukraine is unlikely to be accomplished without occupying whole country, in which case 2 years.
Assuming buildup.
Now primary seems to be redeployment to fronts outside of kiev.
"We'll have a friendly ukraine or we'll have novorossia?"
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Post by Cyan on Apr 19, 2022 18:00:20 GMT
So.
If everyone that reflects as a choice, starts reflecting light as they interpert the senders original position to be as when light was sent instead of reflecting information as it is received, we'd transfer information as a cobweb of light around us with darker and lighter areas up to "big bang barrier"?
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Post by Cyan on Apr 19, 2022 18:02:22 GMT
"It would be an eye on the black hole".
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